When you buy an option, you have to jump through three hoops in a single leap. You have to be right on the stock or the future, right on its move, and right on its timing. Ever tried tossing a ball through three rings at an amusement park? This triple complexity makes buying options a deadly game.
Options offer leverage—an ability to control large positions with a small outlay of cash. The entire risk of an option is limited to the price you pay for it. Options allow traders to make money fast when they’re right, but if the market reverses, you can walk away and owe nothing! This is the standard flow of brokerage house propaganda. It attracts hordes of small traders who cannot afford to buy stocks but want a bigger bang for their buck. What usually gets banged is the option buyer’s head.
My company, Financial Trading, Inc., has been selling books to traders for years. Whenever a person comes back to buy another book, it is a sign that he is active in the markets. Many clients buy books on stocks or futures every few months or years. But when a first-time buyer orders a book on options, he never returns. Why? Does he make so much money so fast that he doesn’t need another book? Or does he wash out?
Many beginners buy calls because they can’t afford stocks. Futures traders who get beat up sometimes turn to options on futures. Losers switch to options instead of dealing with their own inability to trade. Using a shortcut to weasel out of trouble instead of facing a problem never works.
Successful stock and futures traders sometimes use options to reduce risks or protect profits. Serious traders buy options rarely and only in special situations, as we will see later in this book. Options are hopeless for poor people who use them as substitutes for stocks because they can’t afford the real thing.
Professionals take full advantage of starry-eyed beginners crowding into options. Their bid-ask spreads are terrible. If an option is bid 75 cents, offered at a dollar, you are 25% behind the game as soon as you buy. The expression “your loss is limited to what you paid for an option” means you can lose 100%! What’s so great about losing everything? A client of mine was a market-maker on the floor of the American Stock Exchange. She came to my classes on technical analysis because she was pregnant and wanted to get off the floor and trade from home. “Options,” she said, “are a hope business. You can buy hope or sell hope.
I am a professional—I sell hope. I come to the floor in the morning and find what the public wants. Then I price that hope and sell it to them.” Professionals are more likely to write options than buy them. Writing is a capital-intensive business. You need hundreds of thousands of dollars to do it right, and most successful options writers operate with millions. And even theirs is not a risk-free game. Several years ago a friend who used to be one of the nation’s top money managers landed on the front page of The Wall Street Journal after he lost 20 years’ worth of profits in a single bad day of writing naked puts.
There are two types of option writers. Covered writers buy a stock and write an option against it. Naked writers write calls and puts on stocks they don’t own, backing their writes with cash in their accounts. Writing naked options feels like taking money out of thin air, but a violent move can put you out of business. Writing options is a serious game, suitable only for disciplined and well-capitalized traders.
Markets are like pumps that suck money out of the pockets of the poorly informed majority and pump it into the pockets of a savvy minority. People who service those pumps, such as brokers, vendors, regulators, and even janitors who sweep exchange floors, are paid from the stream of money flowing through the markets. Since markets take money from the majority, pay help, and give what’s left to the savvy minority, the majority, by definition, must lose. You can be sure that whatever the majority of traders does, believes, and says, is not worth doing, believing, and saying. You have to stand apart from the crowd in order to succeed. Smart traders look for situations where a large majority does something one way, while a small, moneyed minority goes the opposite way.
In options the majority buys calls and, to a lesser degree, puts. The insiders almost exclusively write options. Professionals use their heads, while amateurs are driven by greed and fear. Options take full advantage of those feelings.
Greed is the engine of option-selling propaganda. You must have heard the slogan: “Control a large block of stock with just a few dollars!” An amateur may be bullish on a $60 stock, but doesn’t have $6,000 to buy 100 shares. He buys some $70 calls with two months of life left in them for $500 each. If that stock rises to 75, those options will acquire $500 of intrinsic value, while maintaining some time value, and a speculator can double his stake in a month! The amateur buys calls and sits back to watch his money double.
Strange things begin to happen. Whenever the stock rises two points, his calls go up only one, but when the stock falls or even pauses, his calls fall briskly. Instead of seeing his money double in a hurry, the amateur is soon staring at a 50% paper loss, while the clock starts ticking louder and louder. The expiration date is nearing, and even though the stock is higher than it was when he bought his calls, they are now cheaper, showing a paper loss. Should he sell and salvage some money or hold and wait for a rally? Even if he knows the right thing to do, he’s not going to do it. His greed does him in. He hangs on until his options expire worthless.
Another great motivator for buying options is fear, especially in options on futures. A loser takes a few painful hits—his analysis was wet and money management nonexistent. He sees an attractive trade but fears losing. He hears the siren song—“unlimited gains with limited risk”—and buys options on futures. Speculators buy options like poor people buy lottery tickets. A person who buys a lottery ticket risks 100% of what he paid. Any situation where you risk 100% looks like an odd case of limited risk. Limited to 100%!?! Most speculators ignore this ominous figure.
Option buyers have a dismal track record. They may make a few dollars on a few trades, but I’ve never seen anyone build equity buying options. The odds in this game are so bad that after a few trades they are sure to kick in and destroy a buyer. At the same time, options have a high entertainment value. They provide a cheap ticket to the game, an inexpensive dream, just like a lottery ticket.
You need a minimum of one year of successful trading experience in stocks or futures before touching options. If you are new to the markets, do not even dream of using options in lieu of stocks. No matter how small your account, find some stocks and learn to trade them. WHERE DO I GO FROM HERE? The all-time bestseller on options, and deservedly so, is Lawrence MacMillan’s Options as a Strategic Investment. It is a veritable mini-encyclopedia that covers all aspects of options trading, better than his other book.
Read More : OPTIONS
